World Cup

World Cup Winner

France35.1%

Argentina17.1%

Spain12.4%

England6.9%

UTC

France

Vol.: 92,838,534

35.1%+1.7%

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35.1%Yes 0.35+1.7%

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Argentina

Vol.: 98,188,855

17.1%-2.3%

Spain

Vol.: 84,064,959

12.4%-0.4%

England

Vol.: 77,051,352

6.9%-0.3%

Brazil

Vol.: 76,635,629

6.7%-0.1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Settlement data source: Polymarket

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