Crypto

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Yes2.1%
No97.9%
UTC
Vol.: ₮ 451,978Settlement: 2026-07-31 19:59UTC
Yes
Vol.: 461,451
2.1%+0.25%
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2.1%Yes 0.02+0.25%
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Vol.: ₮ 451,978Settlement: 2026-07-31 19:59UTC
No
Vol.: 461,451
97.9%-0.25%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Settlement data source: Polymarket

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