Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva60.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro22.1%
Renan Santos10.1%
Michelle Bolsonaro1.3%
UTC
Vol.: ₮ 110,040,928Settlement: 2026-10-04 00:00UTC
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Vol.: 7,193,825
60.5%-1%
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60.5%Yes 0.60-1%
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Vol.: ₮ 110,040,928Settlement: 2026-10-04 00:00UTC
Flávio Bolsonaro
Vol.: 7,220,489
22.1%+0.1%
Renan Santos
Vol.: 7,834,448
10.1%+0.1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
Vol.: 8,636,557
1.3%-1%
Romeu Zema
Vol.: 4,249,859
1.1%+0%

Rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Settlement data source: Polymarket

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